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Table 3 Odds ratios from random effects logit estimations of transitions from unemployment to employment

From: Changes in labour market transitions in Ireland over the Great Recession: what role for policy?

 

2006

2011

 

Odds ratio

Standard error

Odds ratios

Standard error

Male

1.902***

0.195

0.611***

0.069

Age 20-24

5.063***

0.996

9.888***

3.226

Age 25-34

5.138***

1.013

33.055***

11.267

Age 35-44

4.559***

0.936

37.615***

13.202

Age 45-54

5.541***

1.195

44.614***

16.041

Age 55+

3.821***

0.855

26.761***

9.792

Leaving certificate

4.445***

0.622

10.605***

1.726

Post Leaving Cert level (includes apprenticeships)

4.761***

0.913

6.225***

1.099

Third level: non degree

5.909***

1.211

39.703***

9.365

Third level: degree

10.097***

2.059

125.744***

30.770

Irish

1.652***

0.143

2.857***

0.485

Married

1.245*

0.146

2.581***

0.336

Border

0.628***

0.100

0.660*

0.151

Mid-East

0.937

0.179

0.966

0.211

Midlands

0.703

0.155

1.092

0.264

Mid-West

0.501***

0.089

1.009

0.210

South-East

0.762*

0.125

0.728

0.142

South-West

0.705**

0.108

1.228

0.229

West

0.698*

0.133

0.962

0.200

Prev. unemployed for 3–6 months

0.876

0.111

1.217

0.206

Prev. unemployed for 6–12 months

0.658***

0.084

1.145

0.186

Prev. unemployed for 12+ months

0.368***

0.043

0.908

0.125

Prev. sector: Agriculture

1.402

0.576

1.709

0.813

Prev. sector: Construction

0.967

0.165

1.234

0.225

Prev. sector: Wholesale and retail

1.031

0.182

1.435*

0.298

Prev. sector: Transport and storage

0.862

0.255

1.023

0.327

Prev. sector: Accommodation and food service activities

0.825

0.173

1.121

0.283

Prev. sector: Information and communication

0.731

0.239

0.895

0.361

Prev. sector: Financial, insurance and real estate activities

0.797

0.286

0.790

0.358

Prev. sector: Professional, scientific and technical activities

0.694

0.250

0.817

0.268

Prev. sector: Administrative and support service activities

0.990

0.237

1.248

0.372

Prev. sector: Public Administration and defence

0.703

0.315

0.581

0.295

Prev. sector: Education

1.387

0.410

1.536

0.554

Prev. sector: Health

0.901

0.228

1.093

0.326

Prev. sector: Other

1.247

0.312

1.081

0.316

Prev. sector: No sector information

0.866

0.138

1.426*

0.283

Prev. job search: Contacted public employment office

0.819*

0.090

0.656***

0.073

Prev. job search: Contacted private employment agency

1.075

0.114

1.554***

0.176

Prev. job search: Applied directly to employers

0.972

0.116

1.164

0.154

Prev. job search: Asked friends/relatives/trade unions

0.846

0.103

0.643***

0.107

Prev. job search: Studied ads in newspapers

1.009

0.165

0.593***

0.115

Prev. job search: Inserted/answered ads in newspapers

0.991

0.105

0.977

0.108

Prev. job search: Looked for permits, licences or financial resources

0.526

0.303

1.274

1.064

Prev. job search: Looked for land, premises or equipment

1.317

0.885

0.987

1.073

Pending job decisions: Waiting for call from public employment office

0.866

0.098

1.021

0.126

Pending job decisions: Waiting for public sector competition results

1.306***

0.136

1.540***

0.190

Pending job decisions: Took a test, interview or exam

1.396***

0.146

1.051

0.131

Pending job decisions: Waiting for results from job application

0.956

0.210

0.874

0.288

Constant

0.052***

0.017

0.000***

0.000

Number of observations

8,299

18,488

Number of people

6,653

13,776

Log likelihood

−4820.0517

−9450.0625

Prob > chi2

0.0000

0.0000

  1. Note: Dependent variable is transitioned from unemployment to employment. Omitted categories are: age 15–19, Junior Certificate or lower education, Dublin, previously unemployed for less than three months and manufacturing.
  2. Note: ***p < .001; **p < .01; *p < .05.