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Table 4 Odds ratios from random effects logit estimations of transitions from employment to unemployment

From: Changes in labour market transitions in Ireland over the Great Recession: what role for policy?

 

2006

2011

 

Odds ratio

Standard error

Odds ratio

Standard error

Male

1.448***

0.101

3.178***

0.186

Age 20-24

1.861***

0.237

5.388***

0.712

Age 25-34

1.028

0.129

3.466***

0.427

Age 35-44

0.756**

0.102

2.407***

0.305

Age 45-54

0.659***

0.092

1.604***

0.209

Age 55+

0.271***

0.045

0.745**

0.107

Leaving certificate

0.613***

0.055

0.638***

0.050

Post Leaving Cert Level (includes apprenticeships)

0.640***

0.080

1.134

0.102

Third level: non degree

0.589***

0.076

0.377***

0.038

Third level: degree

0.381***

0.044

0.220***

0.021

Irish

1.038

0.060

0.552***

0.044

Married

0.351***

0.031

0.381***

0.025

Border

1.002

0.118

1.202

0.134

Mid-East

0.558***

0.074

1.313***

0.132

Midlands

0.569***

0.091

1.897***

0.228

Mid-West

0.933

0.120

1.901***

0.190

South-East

0.851

0.102

1.773***

0.175

South-West

0.735***

0.079

1.141

0.101

West

0.801

0.110

1.981***

0.199

Prev. sector: Agriculture

0.432***

0.087

0.520***

0.082

Prev. sector: Construction

1.197

0.140

1.061

0.123

Prev. sector: Wholesale and retail

0.904

0.104

0.940

0.087

Prev. sector: Transport and storage

0.894

0.150

0.947

0.125

Prev. sector: Accommodation and food service activities

1.424**

0.200

0.940

0.108

Prev. sector: Information and communication

0.662**

0.134

1.236

0.175

Prev. sector: Financial, insurance and real estate activities

0.671**

0.120

0.807

0.115

Prev. sector: Professional, scientific and technical activities

0.542***

0.099

0.923

0.125

Prev. sector: Administrative and support service activities

1.509**

0.252

1.105

0.158

Prev. sector: Public Administration and defence

0.553***

0.104

0.724**

0.104

Prev. sector: Education

0.885

0.139

0.983

0.120

Prev. sector: Health

0.975

0.125

1.117

0.110

Prev. sector: Other

1.123

0.179

0.895

0.117

Prev. sector: No sector information

0.715

0.411

0.415

0.291

Prev. Permanent contract

1.100

0.085

1.101

0.068

Prev. Full-time

0.882*

0.057

0.683***

0.035

Prev. Trade union member

0.812**

0.067

0.845**

0.058

Prev. Firm size 11-19

1.088

0.112

1.007

0.089

Prev. Firm size 20-49

0.917

0.092

0.970

0.079

Prev. Firm size 50-99

1.103

0.126

0.865

0.083

Prev. Firm size 100-500

1.018

0.102

0.915

0.077

Prev. Firm size 500+

1.081

0.151

0.823*

0.083

Constant

0.001***

0.000

0.004***

0.001

Number of observations

178,325

104,879

Number of people

91,815

57,862

Log likelihood

−14706.688

−18397.634

Prob > chi2

0.0000

0.0000

  1. Note: Dependent variable is transitioned from employment to unemployment. Omitted categories are: age 15–19, Junior Certificate or lower education, Dublin, manufacturing and firm size 1–10 employees.
  2. Note: ***p < .001; **p < .01; *p < .05.