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Table 2 Simulation under stated preferences: share of people in the special Eurobarometer 380 from 2011 disagreeing with the statement: “The EU member states should offer protection and asylum to people in need”

From: Tradable Refugee-admission Quotas (TRAQs), the Syrian Crisis and the new European Agenda on Migration

Countries

Pledges

Initial quotas (EU proposal)

Anti-refugee sentiment Eurobarometer 2011

Market quota

Cost reduction with respect to initial quota

Cost reduction with respect to pledges

Austria

1,500

1,047

19

525

25%

63%

Belgium

300

1,156

27

488

33%

−888%

Czech Republic

70

1,238

22

564

30%

−21914%

Denmark

390

814

7

945

3%

−324%

Finland

850

691

12

534

5%

37%

France

2,400

5,601

26

2,976

22%

−325%

Germany

30,000

7,277

11

8,801

4%

94%

Hungary

30

724

31

377

23%

−44781%

Ireland

421

641

15

361

19%

−88%

Italy

450

4,691

17

4,144

1%

−10617%

Luxembourg

60

347

14

45

76%

−715%

Netherlands

500

1,726

19

1,042

16%

−905%

Poland

100

2,269

7

6,418

335%

120790%

Portugal

93

1,660

13

952

18%

−25971%

Spain

130

3,653

9

6,128

46%

−42607%

Sweden

2,700

1,158

4

2,820

206%

119%

United Kingdom

143

5,445

25

3,017

20%

−116062%

Total

40,137

40,137

 

40,137

27%

65%

Quotas traded

   

25%

  
  1. Notes: Countries included are EU Member States that pledged to host Syrian refugees as of April 2015; pledges refer to the number of Syrian refugees they pledged to host as of April 2015; initial quotas are calculated by rescaling the EU proposal on resettlement for the omission of non-pledging countries; anti-refugee sentiment calculated as the share of people in the Special Eurobarometer 380 from 2011 disagreeing with the statement: “The EU Member States should offer protection and asylum to people in need;” market quota is the market allocation in this simulation given the assumptions