Transitions in labour market status in EU labour markets

Ward-Warmedinger, Melanie; Macchiarelli, Corrado

doi:10.1186/2193-9012-3-17

IZA Journal of European Labor Studies

Table 4 Transition probabilities by worker group

From: Transitions in labour market status in EU labour markets

Labour market status year t
Labour market status year t-1			Central Eastern			Nordics			Continental			Mediterranean
	Males		E	U	NA	E	U	NA	E	U	NA	E	U	NA
	1998-2003	E	93.245	4.705	3.130	92.353	2.938	4.878	94.018	3.641	2.425	95.623	2.144	2.317
		U	30.950	58.559	12.394	34.708	51.257	16.568	32.590	61.282	6.850	34.789	61.845	4.029
		NA	9.734	5.352	86.706	16.526	4.841	79.731	11.119	3.777	87.441	8.989	4.286	87.018
	2004-2008	E	95.328	2.792	1.995	92.891	2.548	4.618	94.094	2.795	3.059	95.896	2.507	1.643
		U	30.147	61.747	11.399	40.153	46.234	15.623	34.496	47.746	17.764	29.169	68.048	2.952
		NA	7.028	3.608	89.968	15.327	4.825	80.050	10.097	3.540	86.318	4.949	4.162	90.935
	Females		E	U	NA	E	U	NA	E	U	NA	E	U	NA
	1998-2003	E	91.604	4.007	5.701	89.993	2.862	7.255	91.220	4.296	3.956	93.787	2.791	3.524
		U	25.193	56.422	19.740	33.206	48.477	21.387	28.484	59.799	12.138	28.395	64.841	7.535
		NA	8.287	4.690	88.411	17.279	5.211	78.220	6.940	3.443	89.798	3.999	2.786	93.342
	2004-2008	E	92.935	2.661	4.212	89.422	2.673	8.077	92.196	3.103	4.758	93.651	3.165	3.246
		U	26.614	61.687	16.495	39.468	41.124	20.989	31.897	42.174	25.956	24.145	69.553	6.965
		NA	6.247	3.362	84.196	16.609	5.125	78.349	8.985	3.742	87.244	3.245	3.422	93.429
	Low education		E	U	NA	E	U	NA	E	U	NA	E	U	NA
	1998-2003	E	88.732	5.616	7.268	86.591	3.797	10.118	90.184	5.440	4.230	93.662	2.828	3.618
		U	21.069	61.114	20.158	27.572	55.099	20.989	24.580	65.824	10.283	29.013	65.372	6.167
		NA	6.430	1.908	93.626	10.149	3.228	87.161	4.374	2.933	93.339	3.985	2.122	94.186
	2004-2008	E	89.918	4.722	5.206	86.744	4.001	9.406	90.216	4.154	5.636	93.804	3.389	2.865
		U	19.299	68.509	17.773	31.646	49.062	21.088	25.456	49.311	25.555	22.241	73.148	4.920
		NA	2.977	1.329	91.580	8.387	4.115	87.456	4.657	2.616	92.691	1.906	2.312	95.836
	Medium education		E	U	NA	E	U	NA	E	U	NA	E	U	NA
	1998-2003	E	92.508	4.774	3.877	90.849	3.238	5.979	93.144	3.838	2.834	95.839	2.175	2.036
		U	30.486	56.390	14.573	36.121	47.854	18.179	34.295	57.085	9.085	33.197	61.578	6.023
		NA	10.284	7.607	83.601	21.271	7.519	72.734	11.820	4.472	86.162	8.120	4.638	87.529
	2004-2008	E	94.218	2.940	2.877	91.180	2.793	6.139	93.232	2.997	3.796	95.565	2.578	1.912
		U	31.040	59.890	12.426	40.892	42.302	18.749	36.922	42.650	20.287	29.975	65.349	5.058
		NA	7.814	4.751	83.955	20.497	6.239	73.654	11.206	4.413	84.342	5.495	4.461	90.164
	High education		E	U	NA	E	U	NA	E	U	NA	E	U	NA
	1998-2003	E	96.393	1.895	2.492	95.176	1.733	3.178	95.147	2.371	2.235	97.359	1.258	1.477
		U	40.909	47.924	14.882	41.378	46.207	16.006	43.082	49.453	8.209	44.938	54.006	3.181
		NA	21.510	9.129	70.648	29.188	7.025	65.601	20.603	4.986	75.311	21.654	13.906	64.930
	2004-2008	E	96.533	1.192	2.337	94.352	1.605	4.138	95.551	1.929	2.521	96.780	1.666	1.604
		U	41.427	51.792	10.706	47.453	40.204	14.474	43.830	39.251	17.190	36.449	58.907	5.212
		NA	21.255	7.847	70.319	30.768	6.600	63.201	22.201	5.536	72.251	15.199	12.842	72.289
	15-24 year olds		E	U	NA	E	U	NA	E	U	NA	E	U	NA
	1998-2003	E	86.184	8.691	6.630	67.533	4.531	28.716	84.492	10.268	5.337	90.498	5.738	3.912
		U	32.528	54.780	15.116	39.723	34.376	29.650	42.075	49.440	9.132	29.849	63.545	6.929
		NA	10.818	5.799	86.677	20.864	3.693	76.934	11.905	3.699	86.247	6.135	4.804	89.189
	2004-2008	E	88.751	6.141	5.073	66.369	5.141	28.857	87.848	7.218	5.352	90.343	6.784	3.041
		U	33.789	55.491	13.077	43.578	30.444	27.296	43.014	43.881	13.465	30.130	65.238	4.940
		NA	6.480	4.096	88.579	16.159	4.900	79.125	13.436	4.436	82.053	4.983	4.566	90.485
	25-29 year olds		E	U	NA	E	U	NA	E	U	NA	E	U	NA
	1998-2003	E	91.749	5.803	3.713	88.882	3.541	7.623	91.195	5.864	2.283	94.765	3.984	1.382
		U	33.423	55.659	13.002	44.203	39.350	18.187	40.310	52.178	8.416	32.251	64.274	4.169
		NA	18.507	10.566	72.434	32.669	8.984	60.255	24.474	10.159	66.622	12.257	8.505	79.667
	2004-2008	E	93.546	3.536	2.968	88.356	3.174	8.723	91.572	4.721	3.687	93.682	4.600	1.770
		U	34.758	57.259	11.937	49.428	34.088	19.271	45.885	41.096	13.290	31.511	64.551	4.248
		NA	17.416	8.889	65.291	33.957	8.452	58.421	27.994	10.532	61.306	12.118	10.441	77.671
	30-54 year olds		E	U	NA	E	U	NA	E	U	NA	E	U	NA
	1998-2003	E	94.452	3.880	2.671	95.307	2.615	2.091	95.131	3.110	1.601	96.645	1.915	1.493
		U	26.174	59.655	15.657	36.844	50.093	16.101	30.190	63.030	7.269	33.519	62.001	5.464
		NA	9.097	6.570	85.321	19.224	10.580	73.314	8.285	5.296	87.150	7.483	3.051	90.052
	2004-2008	E	95.995	2.407	1.566	95.158	2.239	2.702	95.614	2.499	1.876	96.345	2.387	1.303
		U	27.008	64.579	13.157	43.243	45.134	13.396	34.820	49.809	15.556	24.936	70.709	4.873
		NA	7.927	4.432	78.998	22.769	8.106	69.964	9.556	5.619	84.807	4.058	4.273	91.920
	55-64 year olds		E	U	NA	E	U	NA	E	U	NA	E	U	NA
	1998-2003	E	85.043	2.096	15.287	89.532	2.975	7.851	81.747	3.041	15.588	86.903	1.365	12.038
		U	16.774	50.835	36.484	17.948	65.101	21.694	5.518	73.821	21.538	28.008	64.215	9.896
		NA	3.498	0.957	95.914	1.808	2.797	96.838	0.734	1.275	98.536	1.063	0.814	98.243
	2004-2008	E	87.518	1.532	11.259	89.995	2.730	7.442	84.457	1.409	14.206	90.017	1.571	8.586
		U	15.695	63.970	29.805	25.324	55.813	23.375	7.670	33.260	57.741	13.753	77.843	9.315
		NA	3.364	0.626	94.626	2.697	2.174	96.027	1.131	0.482	98.397	0.559	0.998	98.518

Note: E = employed; U = unemployed; NA = inactive so that EE = remains in employment between one year and the next; UU = remains in unemployment, NANA = remains in inactivity. Observations are weighted according to the labour force share (15–64) in each country over the aggregate. Elements showing a probability of remaining in the same labour market state (employment, unemployment and inactivity) are in bold.
Sources: LFS microdata, authors’ computations.

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