Low-wage employment versus unemployment: Which one provides better prospects for women?

IZA Journal of European Labor Studies

Table 5 Simulated transition matrix, not separating between full-time and part-time in period t

	High-pay, t		Low-pay, t		Unemployment, t		Inactivity, t
High-pay, ≥ 30 hours, t-1	0.798		0.073		0.016		0.113
	(0.747)	(0.845)	(0.046)	(0.106)	(0.007)	(0.027)	(0.085)	(0.145)
High-pay, < 30 hours, t-1	0.777		0.122		0.019		0.082
	(0.747)	(0.845)	(0.725)	(0.826)	(0.010)	(0.032)	(0.060)	(0.108)
Low-pay, ≥ 30 hours, t-1	0.485		0.347		0.031		0.136
	(0.413)	(0.558)	(0.272)	(0.428)	(0.015)	(0.055)	(0.099)	(0.179)
Low-pay, < 30 hours, t-1	0.299		0.519		0.044		0.138
	(0.244)	(0.359)	(0.443)	(0.593)	(0.023)	(0.073)	(0.099)	(0.183)
Unemployment, t−1	0.233		0.217		0.247		0.301
	(0.171)	(0.311)	(0.153)	(0.288)	(0.160)	(0.349)	(0.228)	(0.382)
Inactivity, t−1	0.108		0.102		0.082		0.708
	(0.084)	(0.134)	(0.067)	(0.147)	(0.049)	(0.129)	(0.644)	(0.758)

Data source : SOEP 1999–2009; simulations based on parametric bootstrap using coefficients reported in Table 3; five percent confidence intervals in parentheses.