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Table 3 Falsification (probability of conversion from fixed-term to permanent contracts during each single period in 2011)

From: Getting stable: an evaluation of the incentives for permanent contracts in Italy

Control group: Men ≥ 30 (1) (2) (3) (4)
Dependent variable: dummy for conversion All eligibles Men < 30 Women < 30 Women ≥ 30
Eligible −0.0018** −0.0012 −0.0020 −0.0021**
  (0.0008) (0.0010) (0.0013) (0.0010)
Period II −0.0121*** −0.0121*** −0.0121*** −0.0121***
  (0.0008) (0.0008) (0.0008) (0.0008)
Period III −0.0003 −0.0003 −0.0003 −0.0003
  (0.0009) (0.0009) (0.0009) (0.0009)
Period IV −0.0097*** −0.0097*** −0.0097*** −0.0097***
  (0.0008) (0.0008) (0.0008) (0.0008)
Eligible × Period II −0.0004 −0.0008 −0.0006 −0.0002
  (0.0009) (0.0011) (0.0014) (0.0010)
Eligible × Period III −0.0018* −0.0009 −0.0016 −0.0024*
  (0.0011) (0.0014) (0.0018) (0.0013)
Eligible × Period IV −0.0012 −0.0017 −0.0013 −0.0008
  (0.0009) (0.0012) (0.0014) (0.0011)
Constant 0.0184*** 0.0184*** 0.0184*** 0.0184***
  (0.0007) (0.0007) (0.0007) (0.0007)
Observations 614,895 340,214 313,218 438,457
  1. Note: *p < .10 **p < .05 ***p < .01. Standard errors clustered for employer in brackets. See Figure 1 for the definition of periods.