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Table 5 Test for a reduction in the control group: change in conversion rate trends across periods, 2012 vs 2011

From: Getting stable: an evaluation of the incentives for permanent contracts in Italy

  (1) (2) (3) (4)
Dep. var.: dummy for conversion Men ≥ 30 Men ≥ 30 with no eligible colleagues Men ≥ 30 with eligible colleagues Men ≥ 30 with one eligible colleague
Period II (in 2011) −0.0121*** −0.0162*** −0.0104*** −0.0160***
  (0.0008) (0.0014) (0.0009) (0.0033)
Period III (in 2011) −0.0003 −0.0027 0.0005 −0.0013
  (0.0009) (0.0017) (0.0011) (0.0041)
Period IV (in 2011) −0.0097*** −0.0137*** −0.0081*** −0.0131***
  (0.0008) (0.0014) (0.0010) (0.0034)
Year 2012 −0.0007 −0.0014 −0.0004 −0.0021
  (0.0009) (0.0017) (0.0011) (0.0040)
Year 2012 × Period II −0.0002 0.0010 −0.0009 0.0003
  (0.0011) (0.0019) (0.0012) (0.0046)
Year 2012 × Period III 0.0004 0.0002 0.0006 0.0029
  (0.0013) (0.0023) (0.0016) (0.0058)
Year 2012 × Period IV −0.0002 −0.0007 0.0002 0.0027
  (0.0011) (0.0020) (0.0013) (0.0049)
Constant 0.0184*** 0.0258*** 0.0150*** 0.0237***
  (0.0007) (0.0012) (0.0009) (0.0029)
Observations 468,243 160,025 308,218 21,459
  1. Note: *p < .10 **p < .05 ***p < .01. Standard errors clustered for employer in brackets. In period IV those who had an eligible colleague during period III (of the same year) are considered as having an eligible colleague as well.