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Table 5 Test for a reduction in the control group: change in conversion rate trends across periods, 2012 vs 2011

From: Getting stable: an evaluation of the incentives for permanent contracts in Italy

 

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

Dep. var.: dummy for conversion

Men ≥ 30

Men ≥ 30 with no eligible colleagues

Men ≥ 30 with eligible colleagues

Men ≥ 30 with one eligible colleague

Period II (in 2011)

−0.0121***

−0.0162***

−0.0104***

−0.0160***

 

(0.0008)

(0.0014)

(0.0009)

(0.0033)

Period III (in 2011)

−0.0003

−0.0027

0.0005

−0.0013

 

(0.0009)

(0.0017)

(0.0011)

(0.0041)

Period IV (in 2011)

−0.0097***

−0.0137***

−0.0081***

−0.0131***

 

(0.0008)

(0.0014)

(0.0010)

(0.0034)

Year 2012

−0.0007

−0.0014

−0.0004

−0.0021

 

(0.0009)

(0.0017)

(0.0011)

(0.0040)

Year 2012 × Period II

−0.0002

0.0010

−0.0009

0.0003

 

(0.0011)

(0.0019)

(0.0012)

(0.0046)

Year 2012 × Period III

0.0004

0.0002

0.0006

0.0029

 

(0.0013)

(0.0023)

(0.0016)

(0.0058)

Year 2012 × Period IV

−0.0002

−0.0007

0.0002

0.0027

 

(0.0011)

(0.0020)

(0.0013)

(0.0049)

Constant

0.0184***

0.0258***

0.0150***

0.0237***

 

(0.0007)

(0.0012)

(0.0009)

(0.0029)

Observations

468,243

160,025

308,218

21,459

  1. Note: *p < .10 **p < .05 ***p < .01. Standard errors clustered for employer in brackets. In period IV those who had an eligible colleague during period III (of the same year) are considered as having an eligible colleague as well.