# Table 7 Regressions for the probability of being in permanent employment some months later; individuals holding a fixed-term contract in a specific period

Dependent variable
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Control group: Men ≥ 30 Treatment group: all eligibles Dummy for contract conversion in the initial period Dummy for permanent employment on the 15th of the following:
February April June
Individuals with a fixed-term contract in period III (in 2011 or 2012)
Eligible −0.0037*** −0.0367*** −0.0420*** −0.0498***
(0.0009) (0.0029) (0.0034) (0.0037)
Year 2012 −0.0003 0.0036 0.0017 −0.0042
(0.0010) (0.0030) (0.0033) (0.0034)
Eligible × Year 2012 0.0152*** 0.0110*** 0.0078** 0.0089**
(0.0013) (0.0035) (0.0038) (0.0040)
Constant 0.0187*** 0.1701*** 0.2103*** 0.2425***
(0.0007) (0.0025) (0.0029) (0.0032)
Observations 284,012 284,012 284,012 284,012
Test for equality of interaction term with column (1) 0.2075 0.0428 0.1027
Falsification using period [17/11 - 2/12] (in 2011 or 2012)
Eligible −0.0040*** −0.0342*** −0.0402*** −0.0492***
(0.0008) (0.0029) (0.0034) (0.0038)
Year 2012 −0.0001 0.0092*** 0.0083** 0.0023
(0.0009) (0.0033) (0.0036) (0.0037)
Eligible × Year 2012 0.0003 −0.0056 −0.0091** −0.0078*
(0.0011) (0.0037) (0.0041) (0.0044)
Constant 0.0157*** 0.1609*** 0.2074*** 0.2460***
(0.0006) (0.0025) (0.0028) (0.0033)
Observations 244,950 244,950 244,950 244,950
Test for equality of interaction term with column (1) 0.1028 0.0199 0.0592
Triple difference
Eligible −0.0040*** −0.0342*** −0.0402*** −0.0492***
(0.0008) (0.0029) (0.0034) (0.0038)
Year 2012 −0.0001 0.0092*** 0.0083** 0.0023
(0.0009) (0.0033) (0.0036) (0.0037)
Eligible × Year 2012 0.0003 −0.0056 −0.0091** −0.0078*
(0.0011) (0.0037) (0.0041) (0.0044)
Period III 0.0030*** 0.0092*** 0.0029** −0.0035**
(0.0009) (0.0012) (0.0013) (0.0014)
Period III × Eligible 0.0003 −0.0025* −0.0018 −0.0006
(0.0011) (0.0014) (0.0015) (0.0016)
Period III × Year 2012 −0.0002 −0.0056*** −0.0067*** −0.0065***
(0.0013) (0.0014) (0.0014) (0.0015)
Period III × Eligible × Year 2012 0.0149*** 0.0166*** 0.0169*** 0.0166***
(0.0017) (0.0017) (0.0018) (0.0018)
Constant 0.0157*** 0.1609*** 0.2074*** 0.2460***
(0.0006) (0.0025) (0.0028) (0.0033)
Observations 528,962 528,962 528,962 528,962
Test for equality of triple interaction term with col (1) 0.3105 0.2787 0.3631
1. Note: *p < .10 **p < .05 ***p < .01. Standard errors clustered for employer in brackets.