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Table 4 Odds ratios from random effects logit estimations of transitions from employment to unemployment

From: Changes in labour market transitions in Ireland over the Great Recession: what role for policy?

  2006 2011
  Odds ratio Standard error Odds ratio Standard error
Male 1.448*** 0.101 3.178*** 0.186
Age 20-24 1.861*** 0.237 5.388*** 0.712
Age 25-34 1.028 0.129 3.466*** 0.427
Age 35-44 0.756** 0.102 2.407*** 0.305
Age 45-54 0.659*** 0.092 1.604*** 0.209
Age 55+ 0.271*** 0.045 0.745** 0.107
Leaving certificate 0.613*** 0.055 0.638*** 0.050
Post Leaving Cert Level (includes apprenticeships) 0.640*** 0.080 1.134 0.102
Third level: non degree 0.589*** 0.076 0.377*** 0.038
Third level: degree 0.381*** 0.044 0.220*** 0.021
Irish 1.038 0.060 0.552*** 0.044
Married 0.351*** 0.031 0.381*** 0.025
Border 1.002 0.118 1.202 0.134
Mid-East 0.558*** 0.074 1.313*** 0.132
Midlands 0.569*** 0.091 1.897*** 0.228
Mid-West 0.933 0.120 1.901*** 0.190
South-East 0.851 0.102 1.773*** 0.175
South-West 0.735*** 0.079 1.141 0.101
West 0.801 0.110 1.981*** 0.199
Prev. sector: Agriculture 0.432*** 0.087 0.520*** 0.082
Prev. sector: Construction 1.197 0.140 1.061 0.123
Prev. sector: Wholesale and retail 0.904 0.104 0.940 0.087
Prev. sector: Transport and storage 0.894 0.150 0.947 0.125
Prev. sector: Accommodation and food service activities 1.424** 0.200 0.940 0.108
Prev. sector: Information and communication 0.662** 0.134 1.236 0.175
Prev. sector: Financial, insurance and real estate activities 0.671** 0.120 0.807 0.115
Prev. sector: Professional, scientific and technical activities 0.542*** 0.099 0.923 0.125
Prev. sector: Administrative and support service activities 1.509** 0.252 1.105 0.158
Prev. sector: Public Administration and defence 0.553*** 0.104 0.724** 0.104
Prev. sector: Education 0.885 0.139 0.983 0.120
Prev. sector: Health 0.975 0.125 1.117 0.110
Prev. sector: Other 1.123 0.179 0.895 0.117
Prev. sector: No sector information 0.715 0.411 0.415 0.291
Prev. Permanent contract 1.100 0.085 1.101 0.068
Prev. Full-time 0.882* 0.057 0.683*** 0.035
Prev. Trade union member 0.812** 0.067 0.845** 0.058
Prev. Firm size 11-19 1.088 0.112 1.007 0.089
Prev. Firm size 20-49 0.917 0.092 0.970 0.079
Prev. Firm size 50-99 1.103 0.126 0.865 0.083
Prev. Firm size 100-500 1.018 0.102 0.915 0.077
Prev. Firm size 500+ 1.081 0.151 0.823* 0.083
Constant 0.001*** 0.000 0.004*** 0.001
Number of observations 178,325 104,879
Number of people 91,815 57,862
Log likelihood −14706.688 −18397.634
Prob > chi2 0.0000 0.0000
  1. Note: Dependent variable is transitioned from employment to unemployment. Omitted categories are: age 15–19, Junior Certificate or lower education, Dublin, manufacturing and firm size 1–10 employees.
  2. Note: ***p < .001; **p < .01; *p < .05.