An ex ante evaluation of the Revenu de Solidarité Active by micro–macro simulation techniques

IZA Journal of European Labor Studies

Table 6 Long run labor supply reaction of couples (Transition matrices)

Prediction		0-0 ¹	0-18	0-24	0-36	36-0	36-18	36-24	36-36	Total
Choice	0-0	2.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	3.1
	0-18	0.0	0.8	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.9
	0-24	0.0	0.0	0.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.7
	0-36	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	2.9
	36-0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	17.8	0.2	0.2	0.5	18.7
	36-18	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	9.7	0.0	0.0	9.9
	36-24	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.0	14.0	0.1	14.5
	36-36	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.8	0.2	0.1	47.9	49.4
Total		3.3	0.8	0.7	2.7	19.3	10.2	14.4	48.7	100

Notes: 1. Within each possible combination of choices, the first figure refers to the man and the second to the woman.
The transition matrix should be interpreted as follows. Each cell of the matrix reports the percentage of individuals that before the reform chose the work alternative corresponding to the “choice” line and after the reform choose the work alternative corresponding to the “prediction” column. Figures in the diagonal report the percentage of families that did not change behavior with the reform.
Source: our simulations using SYSIFF2006 micro–macro simulation model.