From: Scars of early non-employment for low educated youth: evidence and policy lessons from Belgium
Second stage on continuous outcomes | First stage | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Outcomes a | Log earnings | Log hours worked | Early non-empl. | ||
OLS | 2SLS | OLS | 2SLS | OLS | |
Clustered standard errors: | g∗p | g∗p | g∗p | g∗p | g∗p |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
UR_grad | 5.4615*** | ||||
(1.6848) | |||||
Early non-empl. | –0.0269*** | –0.1002*** | –0.0203*** | –0.0723*** | |
(0.0040) | (0.0291) | (0.0029) | (0.0207) | ||
UR_pe6 | 0.4823** | 0.4172** | 0.3341** | 0.2880** | 0.3779 |
(0.1904) | (0.1919) | (0.1382) | (0.1392) | (1.6071) | |
lin_grad_year | –0.1588 | 0.0469 | –0.1139 | 0.0319 | 3.5329 |
(0.2945) | (0.2995) | (0.2134) | (0.2191) | (2.2946) | |
lin_grad_year |trend>3 | 0.9033** | 0.6407 | 0.6676** | 0.4814 | –4.4281 |
(0.4003) | (0.4242) | (0.2915) | (0.3109) | (2.8479) | |
lin_grad_year |trend>6 | –0.4604* | –0.4394 | –0.3335* | –0.3186 | 3.9169 |
(0.2582) | (0.2852) | (0.1866) | (0.2036) | (3.1378) | |
d_province2 | –1.3812* | –1.2603 | –0.9479* | –0.8622 | 3.6574 |
(0.7107) | (0.9544) | (0.5041) | (0.6684) | (8.6769) | |
d_province3 | –2.1753*** | –2.9226*** | –1.5774*** | –2.1070*** | –11.7452 |
(0.6066) | (0.9315) | (0.4344) | (0.6703) | (8.9621) | |
d_province4 | 0.0841 | 0.1824 | 0.0740 | 0.1436 | 0.7495 |
(0.4801) | (0.4983) | (0.3504) | (0.3570) | (4.7080) | |
d_province5 | 0.8990 | 0.9210 | 0.6674 | 0.6829 | –15.1893** |
(0.6099) | (0.6721) | (0.4495) | (0.4866) | (6.6042) | |
lin_calend_year_prov2 | 0.0498 | 0.0410 | 0.0349 | 0.0287 | 0.0774 |
(0.1386) | (0.1413) | (0.1019) | (0.1024) | (0.9931) | |
lin_calend_year_prov3 | 0.0723 | 0.1638 | 0.0588 | 0.1236 | 2.2624 |
(0.1136) | (0.1441) | (0.0811) | (0.1040) | (1.7325) | |
lin_calend_year_prov4 | –0.0946 | –0.1524 | –0.0684 | –0.1094 | –1.0198 |
(0.1267) | (0.1477) | (0.0927) | (0.1051) | (1.2618) | |
lin_calend_year_prov5 | –0.0813 | –0.0760 | –0.0593 | –0.0555 | 1.8419 |
(0.1067) | (0.1194) | (0.0795) | (0.0868) | (1.1761) | |
avg_UR_pe3-6 | –1.2836*** | –1.4348** | –0.9652*** | –1.0724*** | –0.3037 |
(0.4509) | (0.5863) | (0.3262) | (0.4140) | (4.4775) | |
Min_UR_pe0-6 | –0.5718 | –0.4848 | –0.3128 | –0.2511 | –6.4742 |
(0.6219) | (0.6613) | (0.4391) | (0.4664) | (7.1097) | |
Birth cohort76 | 0.7043 | –0.3300 | 0.5421 | –0.1909 | –13.2641*** |
(0.5632) | (0.7686) | (0.4125) | (0.5583) | (3.6802) | |
Birth cohort78 | 0.4261 | –0.0504 | 0.3188 | –0.0190 | –5.9156** |
(0.3677) | (0.4687) | (0.2691) | (0.3409) | (2.5815) | |
Live in single-parent | 0.3453 | 0.7897 | 0.2731 | 0.5880 | 6.1392 |
(0.4632) | (0.5207) | (0.3466) | (0.3840) | (4.1354) | |
Not live with parents | 0.4272* | 0.5203 | 0.3476* | 0.4136 | 1.0913 |
(0.2431) | (0.3501) | (0.1792) | (0.2530) | (2.5611) | |
HH members aged 0-11 | –0.0177 | 0.0846 | –0.0462 | 0.0263 | 1.3007 |
(0.1123) | (0.1472) | (0.0878) | (0.1069) | (1.1570) | |
HH members aged 12–17 | 0.1680 | 0.1467 | 0.1261 | 0.1110 | –0.2429 |
(0.1177) | (0.1473) | (0.0883) | (0.1087) | (0.9030) | |
HH members aged 18–29 | 0.0112 | 0.2054 | 0.0073 | 0.1449 | 2.6587** |
(0.1164) | (0.1561) | (0.0870) | (0.1134) | (1.0291) | |
HH members aged 30–64 | –0.0334 | –0.0801 | –0.0112 | –0.0443 | –0.4836 |
(0.4065) | (0.4287) | (0.3022) | (0.3129) | (3.2574) | |
HH members aged 65+ | –0.0680 | 0.0308 | –0.0289 | 0.0411 | 1.2468 |
(0.3639) | (0.4196) | (0.2683) | (0.3079) | (3.1042) | |
Father education | 0.0011 | 0.0294 | 0.0000 | 0.0201 | 0.3816 |
(0.0255) | (0.0330) | (0.0188) | (0.0240) | (0.2531) | |
Mother education | –0.1053*** | –0.0485 | –0.0765*** | –0.0363 | 0.7800** |
(0.0356) | (0.0432) | (0.0269) | (0.0317) | (0.2925) | |
Years of delay in sec. edu | –0.0545 | 0.3485* | –0.0423 | 0.2433 | 5.4123*** |
(0.1112) | (0.2094) | (0.0808) | (0.1510) | (1.1119) | |
Technical edu | 0.4431 | –0.4557 | 0.3563 | –0.2807 | –11.8663*** |
(0.3274) | (0.4733) | (0.2470) | (0.3399) | (2.9533) | |
Vocational edu | 0.4572 | –0.3520 | 0.3675* | –0.2059 | –10.6291*** |
(0.2772) | (0.4516) | (0.2101) | (0.3233) | (3.3428) | |
Apprenticeship/PT edu | –0.1879 | –1.1341* | –0.1093 | –0.7798* | –12.5300** |
(0.4530) | (0.6234) | (0.3375) | (0.4500) | (4.7050) | |
Constant | 15.0564*** | 18.1335*** | 10.7790*** | 12.9598*** | 24.5592 |
(3.7529) | (5.2571) | (2.6949) | (3.7277) | (49.3992) | |
Observations | 1,902 | 1,902 | 1,902 | 1,902 | 1,902 |
R-squared | 0.0895 | –0.2401 | 0.0895 | –0.2099 | 0.1070 |
F stat of first step b | 10.51 | ||||
Exogeneity test P-val c | 0.00970 | 0.0112 |