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Table 1 Simulation under revealed preferences: preferences are such that the market arrives at the actual number of pledges

From: Tradable Refugee-admission Quotas (TRAQs), the Syrian Crisis and the new European Agenda on Migration

Countries Pledges Initial quotas (EU proposal) Anti-refugee sentiment: deduced from pledges Market quota Cost reduction with respect to initial quota Cost reduction with respect to pledges
Austria 1,500 1,047 56 1,500 19% 60%
Belgium 300 1,156 372 300 55% −570%
Czech Republic 70 1,238 1502 70 89% −3337%
Denmark 390 814 144 390 27% −217%
Finland 850 691 64 850 5% 37%
France 2,400 5,601 273 2,400 33% −267%
Germany 30,000 7,277 27 30,000 975% 151%
Hungary 30 724 3303 30 92% −4627%
Ireland 421 641 109 421 12% −105%
Italy 450 4,691 1326 450 82% −1885%
Luxembourg 60 347 90 60 68% −956%
Netherlands 500 1,726 336 500 50% −490%
Poland 100 2,269 3806 100 91% −4337%
Portugal 93 1,660 1128 93 89% −3370%
Spain 130 3,653 3594 130 93% −5420%
Sweden 2,700 1,158 35 2,700 177% 114%
United Kingdom 143 5,445 4469 143 95% −7416%
Total 40,137 40,137   40,137 92% 0%
Quotas traded     62%   
  1. Notes: Countries included are EU Member States that pledged to host Syrian refugees as of April 2015; pledges refer to the number of Syrian refugees they pledged to host as of April 2015; initial quotas are calculated by rescaling the EU proposal on resettlement for the omission of non-pledging countries; anti-refugee sentiment calculated as population over pledge divided by 1 million; market quota is the market allocation in this simulation given the assumptions