Job loss by wage level: lessons from the Great Recession in Ireland

IZA Journal of European Labor Studies

Table 5 Average end of period employment probabilities by quintile, for all employees and selected sub-groups, boom years and 2009

Year	Wage quintile	All employees				Employees with selected demographics
		Probability of being employed at the end of the period				Employees with selected demographics
		Probability of being employed at the end of the period				Men		With second-level education		Aged 55–64		Aged 18–30
		Average 2004–2006	2006			% dif from avg	Share, row	% dif from avg	Share, row	% dif from avg	Share, row	% dif from avg	Share, row
Boom years	Q5	0.972	0.978		2006	0.0	0.68	0.1	0.32	−3.1	0.16	−1.3	0.05
	Q4	0.963	0.970			0.6	0.65	1.6	0.48	−4.0	0.12	0.5	0.22
	Q3	0.947	0.948			−0.8	0.54	0.1	0.52	−4.4	0.10	−1.6	0.37
	Q2	0.912	0.913			−1.4	0.44	1.7	0.61	−3.0	0.09	2.7	0.44
	Q1	0.842	0.828			−0.3	0.29	0.4	0.54	0.4	0.13	−2.5	0.36
	Avg	0.928	0.927			1.5	0.52	0.3	0.49	−2.4	0.12	−1.6	0.29
		2009	% diff with
		2009	2004–2006	2006
Bust	Q5	0.951	−2.1	−2.8	2009	0.3	0.70	0.1	0.35	−8.6	0.17		0.04
	Q4	0.923	−4.2	−4.9		−3.7	0.54	0.4	0.43	0.9	0.14	1.5	0.21
	Q3	0.873	−7.9	−8.0		−4.0	0.59	−4.4	0.49	3.9	0.12	−3.5	0.31
	Q2	0.859	−6.1	−5.9		−4.2	0.45	0.3	0.57	−5.0	0.13	−1.5	0.39
	Q1	0.782	−7.1	−5.5		−4.4	0.32	1.3	0.51	6.1	0.16	−1.7	0.32
	Avg	0.878	−5.4	−5.4		−1.0	0.52	−1.2	0.47	−0.6	0.15	−3.3	0.25

Note: for each sub-group, the first column indicates the difference in end of period employment rates from the (quintile) average, in percent. The second column (italics) gives the % of the quintile population in that sub-group. At least 30 observations per cell. Figures computed using sample weights