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Table 5 Average end of period employment probabilities by quintile, for all employees and selected sub-groups, boom years and 2009

From: Job loss by wage level: lessons from the Great Recession in Ireland

Year Wage quintile All employees   Employees with selected demographics
Probability of being employed at the end of the period  
  Men With second-level education Aged 55–64 Aged 18–30
Average 2004–2006 2006   % dif from avg Share, row % dif from avg Share, row % dif from avg Share, row % dif from avg Share, row
Boom years Q5 0.972 0.978 2006 0.0 0.68 0.1 0.32 −3.1 0.16 −1.3 0.05
Q4 0.963 0.970 0.6 0.65 1.6 0.48 −4.0 0.12 0.5 0.22
Q3 0.947 0.948 −0.8 0.54 0.1 0.52 −4.4 0.10 −1.6 0.37
Q2 0.912 0.913 −1.4 0.44 1.7 0.61 −3.0 0.09 2.7 0.44
Q1 0.842 0.828 −0.3 0.29 0.4 0.54 0.4 0.13 −2.5 0.36
Avg 0.928 0.927 1.5 0.52 0.3 0.49 −2.4 0.12 −1.6 0.29
   2009 % diff with          
2004–2006 2006
Bust Q5 0.951 −2.1 −2.8 2009 0.3 0.70 0.1 0.35 −8.6 0.17   0.04
Q4 0.923 −4.2 −4.9 −3.7 0.54 0.4 0.43 0.9 0.14 1.5 0.21
Q3 0.873 −7.9 −8.0 −4.0 0.59 −4.4 0.49 3.9 0.12 −3.5 0.31
Q2 0.859 −6.1 −5.9 −4.2 0.45 0.3 0.57 −5.0 0.13 −1.5 0.39
Q1 0.782 −7.1 −5.5 −4.4 0.32 1.3 0.51 6.1 0.16 −1.7 0.32
Avg 0.878 −5.4 −5.4 −1.0 0.52 −1.2 0.47 −0.6 0.15 −3.3 0.25
  1. Note: for each sub-group, the first column indicates the difference in end of period employment rates from the (quintile) average, in percent. The second column (italics) gives the % of the quintile population in that sub-group. At least 30 observations per cell. Figures computed using sample weights